China's Shanghai Composite
China's Shanghai Composite is up over 300% since the late part
of 2005 and is undergoing a Parabolic Move. Meanwhile similar
Parabolic Moves occurred in the Nasdaq back in the mid to late 1990's, Japan
mid to late 1980's and in the Dow (mid to late 1920's).
Of course nobody knows when China's market (Shanghai
Composite) will peak however when it does past history tells us that a substantial
sell off will follow. In each of the previous cases there was
a large sell off once the Parabolic Move ended in the Dow, Nasdaq
and Nikkei 225 as they all dropped 79% or more from their peaks as shown
in the charts below.
At this point it's not a question of if but when China's
market (Shanghai Composite) will go through a similar sell off.
Also the other thing we have to consider is, when the sell off does
finally begin in China, how will it affect the other markets around
the world. Remember back in the Fall of 1998 when the Asian financial
crisis spooked the world markets which led to a 22% drop in the Dow over a 7
week period. That could end up looking like a drop in the bucket if the
Shanghai Composite unravels and goes through a substantial correction
like we have seen in the past. As mentioned above the Dow, Nasdaq
and Nikkei 225 all dropped 79% or more after their Parabolic Moves
ended.
Click
here to Signup for a
"Free" 2 Week Trial Membership to Amatuer Investors
and have access to the following Products
Stocks to Watch Buy List
Daily ETF Buy and Sell Signals
401K/TSP Timing Signals
Industry Group Performance
Market Timing Indicator
Daily ETF Signals
|