(8/16/14)
For those that like market trivia since 1885 the S&P
Composite has never had a negative Annual Return when the year has ended in the
number "5". However before the late 1880's this wasn't always
the case as some years actually had a negative return. Meanwhile the
Average Yearly Return in the 1900's was 28.6% while in the 1800's it was only
4.2%. In 2005 the S&P ended the year up only 3% which was the
smallest gain since 1895. Finally if we look
at those years ending in a "5" which have preceded a Presidential
Election Year notice since 1900 the average Annual Return for those 5
occurrences has been 35.3%. Thus this is why some people believe 2015 is
going to be a banner year. However once again prior to 1900 market returns
were considerably less or even negative.
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