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(8/17/13)
The S&P 500 completed a 5 Wave move up from the mid June low
of 1560 and peaked at 1710. This has been followed by a 57 point drop back
to the 38.2% Retrace
from 1560 to 1710 at 1653. 
If 1710 ends up being a top one
potential pattern to watch for as we move into the Fall is a large Head and
Shoulders Top pattern. In this scenario the S&P 500 would eventually
drop back to around its previous June low near 1560 which is close to its 200
Day EMA. This would then be followed by a decent oversold bounce to form the
2nd Shoulder. 
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