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(3/28/15)
A few questions have come in recently asking if the Dow is still
exhibiting a Broadening Top pattern. An illustration of what one looks
like is shown below. 
Keep in mind this is a rare pattern
and the last time one of this magnitude occurred was way back in the 1960's and
1970's as exhibited by the S&P 500. 
If the Dow is exhibiting a similar
pattern to that of the S&P 500 back in the 1960's and 1970's, then a
substantial correction would follow in the coming years with an eventual test of
the lower trend line connecting the 2002 and 2009 lows. 
Finally an alternative scenario is
that we are in the middle stages of a much larger Broadening Top pattern which
would be followed by more extreme volatility during the next 10 to 15
years. In this scenario the lower trend line would be tested once more
followed by another rally to the upper trend line to complete the pattern.
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