(9/8/13)
Investors remain pretty confident that the market is just going
through a minor pullback as the 5 Day Moving Average (MA) of the Put to Call
Ratio has barely risen the past few weeks. As we have seen since the 2011
low previous pullbacks have been accompanied by a decent spike upward in
the 5 Day MA of the Put to Call Ratio with values rising from below 0.85 to to
1.10 or higher (points A). Meanwhile the initial move down from
the 1710 high looks like a small five wave affair. So the current bounce
from the 1629 low is either Wave 2 of 5 or "B" of an "ABC"
correction. If we are seeing a 5 Wave correction then Wave 3 would
have a target around 1530. Meanwhile if its an "ABC" affair then
the target for "C" would be near the previous June low of
1560.
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