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Weekend Stock Market Analysis

(8/2/14)

For those that don't read my daily updates the S&P 500 formed a bearish Butterfly pattern last week which has been followed by a pullback to the 100 Day EMA (green line).  Keep in mind the same type of pattern occurred last April as well with a test of the 100 Day EMA.  So far the S&P 500 has held support at its 100 Day EMA so this will be a key thing to watch next week.   If the 100 Day EMA doesn't hold then the next support level appears to be at the 200 Day EMA (blue line) which is in the mid 1850's.

Finally one thing that bothers me is the TRIN which still shows quite a bit of complacency in the market as there has been no surge higher with this current pullback.  Notice previous bottoms occurred when the TRIN closed at or above the 2.0 level (points A).

 

 

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